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- <text id=91TT1092>
- <title>
- May 20, 1991: What Blockbusters Are Made Of
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1991
- May 20, 1991 Five Who Could Be Vice President
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- CINEMA, Page 63
- What Blockbusters Are Made Of
- </hdr><body>
- <p>Which of this summer's 50 pix will be megahits? Here's a
- handicapper's guide
- </p>
- <p>By RICHARD CORLISS--Reported by Sally B. Donnelly/Los Angeles
- </p>
- <p> Handicapping Hollywood hits has its perils and pleasures.
- If, 18 months ago, you had publicly predicted that the
- top-grossing pictures of 1990 would be Home Alone, Ghost, Pretty
- Woman and Dances with Wolves, you could now be running the major
- studio of your choice. If, like most everyone, you had put your
- money on megabudget action adventures, you could be Frank
- Mancuso, who doesn't run Paramount Pictures anymore. Starting
- this month, the movie industry puts its snazziest fashions on
- display. The only thing certain about the product is that there
- will be more of it--50 films, by one count, compared with 35
- last summer. In forecasting the winners, moviegoers and moguls
- will have five questions in mind:
- </p>
- <p> WHO'S IN IT?
- </p>
- <p> Stars are brand names: they sell tickets because they are
- the people we want to see and be. So the received wisdom says
- Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves will be a summer smash, not
- because Americans want a fantasy history lesson set in 12th
- century England but because Kevin Costner is running the show.
- Costner has made so many left-field hits lately (baseball
- movies, even westerns) that Hollywood figures he can do no
- wrong. It wants to forget that in between Field of Dreams and
- Dances with Wolves, he detonated a minibomb called Revenge.
- </p>
- <p> WILL IT MAKE 'EM LAUGH OR CRY?
- </p>
- <p> Tears streaming down cheeks or a grin from ear to ear
- equals good word of mouth. Last summer's surprise smash Ghost
- got 50 million moviegoers suitably weepy. So this summer's early
- line favored Dying Young, the Julia Roberts sudser about a
- former Candy Striper who falls in love with a failing patient.
- Hollywood had two nicknames for the film: Pretty Nurse and Can't
- Miss. But now second thoughts may be spoiling the party. 20th
- Century Fox has postponed the movie until late summer, and
- there's talk of changing both the downbeat ending and the title.
- To what, Pretty Sick? No. Forever Young.
- </p>
- <p> For Hollywood, dying is hard but comedy is easy. The
- original Saturday Night Live wires have frayed lately, but Bill
- Murray will open the season with this week's psycho farce, What
- About Bob? Billy Crystal will dude it up out West in City
- Slickers, Martin Short will bank on Pure Luck, and John Candy
- will go Delirious. The easiest hit to pick is a farce sequel,
- The Naked Gun 2 1/2: The Smell of Fear.
- </p>
- <p> WHEN DOES IT COME OUT?
- </p>
- <p> Last year Goldie Hawn's Bird on a Wire got the Memorial
- Day jump on the competition and galloped to a $70 million
- gross; Total Recall, the first brawnbuster released last June,
- beat out its beefy competition. So an early start is helpful.
- This Memorial Day weekend, Hudson Hawk, with Bruce Willis as a
- reformed thief forced to commit one last heist, will try to
- shoulder out Backdraft, director Ron Howard's fireman-buddy epic
- starring Kurt Russell and Robert De Niro. Maybe those two films
- will duke it out all summer. Or maybe they will cream each
- other and leave space for late May's gal-buddy movie, Thelma and
- Louise, with Susan Sarandon and Geena Davis. The success of T&L,
- or of Soapdish with Sally Field and Whoopi Goldberg, or of
- Warshawski with Kathleen Turner would mark the welcome
- infiltration of female-star vehicles in the boys' camp of summer
- movies.
- </p>
- <p> HOW MUCH DID IT COST?
- </p>
- <p> A movie budget shouldn't interest moviegoers; they pay the
- same ticket price for the cult hit Poison as they do for
- Godfather 3. But Hollywood went haywire last summer with action
- adventures, leaving the genre in a deep hole. And from that
- abyss crawls this year's budget behemoth, James Cameron's
- Terminator 2: Judgment Day. Arnold Schwarzenegger got a $14
- million jet as his salary, but even if he had worked for free,
- the movie would have cost more than $80 million, or about five
- times what the original Terminator brought its distributor. The
- early word is that the new picture is worth every penny, but
- movie execs dare to hope that T2 is the last of the spendthrift
- macho movies. It won't be.
- </p>
- <p> THE HUH? FACTOR
- </p>
- <p> As in, "I see that Home Alone is now the third
- highest-grossing picture of all time." Huh? Every summer has its
- sleepers. Even to list all the films that might be big this
- season, you'd need Marty McFly coming back from the future with,
- say, the Sept. 9 issue of Variety. So let's say The Rocketeer,
- Disney's no-star action fantasy, will ring the register. And
- Mike Nichols' Regarding Henry, with Harrison Ford as a lovelorn
- amnesiac. And Boyz N the Hood, a promising young director's
- first feature about gang bonding. And--no, stop! This could
- take all summer.
- </p>
-
- </body></article>
- </text>
-
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